Forecast for 2015 Balance of Supply and Demand - July 15

Source: OPEC 7/26/2015, Location: Europe

Demand for OPEC crude for 2015 was revised down by 0.1 mb/d from the previous report. Within the year’s quarters, the 1Q was revised down by 0.1 mb/d, while the 2Q remained unchanged. The 3Q and 4Q were revised down both by 0.2 mb/d from the previous report. These adjustments were driven by the upward revision in non-OPEC supply, outpacing the upward adjustment in global demand.

The demand for OPEC crude is estimated at 30.1 mb/d in 2015, representing an increase of 0.2 mb/d from last year’s level. The 1Q is estimated to fall by 0.8 mb/d, while the 2Q is estimated to remain unchanged. In contrast, the 3Q and 4Q quarters are expected to see growth of 0.5 mb/ and 1.5 mb/d versus the same quarter last year.


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